Many people around the world play in online casinos, and that’s a good thing if it’s your only source of betting. However, online casinos are nowhere near as close to reality when it comes to simulation. Take Craps, for example. The casino determines which number is rolled using a random number generator. However, how random is random? If you’ve ever been to a casino, you know that everyone at a table has a unique scroll pattern. Some stack the dice and casually toss them in the air. Others shake and throw them against the back wall, while others often throw the dice on the table or fall short of the back wall. There are even players who change their roll pattern with each roll or point.
An online casino does not have the ability to simulate this. Of course, they can manipulate the random number generator, but there is still no way to accurately simulate the action of the table. Having programmed, I know that a random number generator is not that random. Worse, if the computer simply “chooses a number”, it is not even an adequate configuration to be in. Let’s keep looking at the data. Does the casino have a random number generator that simply chooses a number between one and twelve? In that case, all numbers have an equal chance of coming out, which is against the real probability. Perhaps they list all likely combinations and the computer selects one. That would be a little more accurate, in terms of probability, but it still lacks the real randomness of the live action – and strange events are more likely to happen.
What I’m going to tell you is true and it happens more often than you might think sports betting sites. A tester recently played at an online casino (Craps) to monitor the numerical frequency on the field. In the range of just 150 rolls, the computer rolled 11 non-field numbers in a row and then followed several rolls later, rolling 12 non-field numbers in a row. What is the big problem you ask? Well, first, the field has a 44.5% chance of winning with each move and the second; the probability of throwing 11 runs off the field in a row is 0.0015%. The probability of entering 12 non-consecutive numbers is 0008%. These events must occur once every 667 moves and once every 1176 moves, respectively, even though both are seen in a handful of moves from each other in the 150 monitored moves.
But wait, there’s more. Within those same, now historical, 150 launches, a six was not launched by 13-16 launches 5 times. The probability of not playing six 13 times is 14.5% (9% for 16 moves) – this happened 5 times in 150 moves. The same happened with the eight – in fact – there were two cases in which an eight was not played 18 to 20 times. The probability of this happening is 5-7% and it happened twice.
By adding all of these things, you get a more accurate picture of how random number generators are not realistic to simulate the real action of the casino. I’m not trying to scare you into playing. In fact, it is possible to earn money and have fun in online casinos. However, you need to realize that you are playing in a different environment with different rules. You cannot go after bets thinking they are mathematically late to enter, because this is a different world, with a different way of producing results. Gambling strategies that you would use in a real live casino may not be applicable in an online casino.